News Archive

Terror Map

by msecadm4921

The scope and shape of terrorist threats around the world are shifting, according to 2007 Terrorism Threat Map.

It’s been launched by insurance broker and risk management consultant Aon. This means that the vulnerabilities in a company’s operations and revenue streams are also shifting, heightening the importance of fully understanding the changing nature of a business’ exposures.

The analysis for this year’s threat map, which provides a view of the terrorist threat in 200 countries, indicates an apparent weakening of the Al Qaeda network and those terrorist groups operating under its umbrella.

Paul Bassett, executive director of Aon Crisis Management, said: “The war on terror, especially in Afghanistan, appears to be disrupting the command and control element of Al Qaeda. Terror groups/cells at a country level are also more fragmented, resulting in lower levels of coordination.

“This has a downside, however, in that the many and varied plots are often unrelated. Just because one plot has been stopped in a certain country does not mean that other unrelated plots have been stopped or disrupted and vigilance is as critical as ever.

On the other side of the coin, as terror networks become more fragmented and less coordinated, intelligence and counter-terrorism authorities appear to becoming more coordinated and organised on a global basis. The implications for business are significant.

“Businesses need to realise that the level and shape of the risk is constantly evolving,” Paul warned. “As the risk profile changes, as parts of the world become more or less vulnerable to attack, the vulnerabilities in a business’ operations and revenue streams also change.

“As conflicts in the Middle East change and mature, for example, we are likely to see more movement of Jihadists between countries, perhaps returning from conflicts to their home nation, which again influences the shape and scope of terrorism risk.”

Janusian Security Risk Management (a subsidiary of The Risk Advisory Group consultancy) has collaborated with Aon to provide the analysis for the terror threat map.

David Claridge, Managing Director of Janusian Security Risk Management, said: "Janusian is very proud to work with Aon on this annual terrorism threat product. Our analysts have a breadth of experience in assessing the threat from terrorism around the world. Producing the map has allowed us to develop this expertise. There are a number of changes from last year and these reflect the fluid and evolving nature of the threat. There is a real fear that those foreigners fighting for Al-Qaeda in Iraq will return to their home countries in the Middle East, North Africa and Europe and bring with them extensive tactical expertise learnt in Iraq. The change in name of the Jihadist terrorist organisation, GSPC, to Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) has coincided with a surge in terrorist attacks and plots in both Algeria and Morocco, including an Al-Qaeda style high casualty coordinated attack on Algiers.  

"Elsewhere, the threat of a domestic terror campaign in Spain continues with the end of an ETA ceasefire and in the UK recent terror attacks and plots indicate that the threat of mass casualty attacks continues."

For more details, visit the Aon website:

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